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A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. "Obviously with yields moving higher, you expect the equity market to pull back a little bit. Better-than-expected economic data, inflation not coming down as anticipated and weak demand at auctions contributed to higher yields," said Victoria Fernandez, chief market strategist at Crossmark Global Investments. Eight of the 11 S&P 500 sub-sectors were in the red, with consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), energy (.SPNY) and information technology (.SPLRCT) leading declines amongst the major S&P 500 sectors. Third-quarter earnings for the S&P 500 companies are expected to increase 1.1% year-on-year, compared with a 1.6% rise estimated on Thursday, as per LSEG data.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Victoria Fernandez, Raphael Bostic, Patrick Harker, CME's, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Christian, Economic, of New, Crossmark Global Investments, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, Philadelphia Fed, Traders, Regions, American, Dow Jones, Coinbase Global, Marathon, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Israel, Gaza, of New York, Bengaluru

A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Comments from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will also be on investor radar during the day as Fed officials will be entering a media blackout starting Saturday ahead of their meeting on Nov 1. The 10-year Treasury yield , which briefly crossed 5% on Thursday for the first time since July 2007, were last at 4.9392%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 78 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 13 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 61 points, or 0.41%. Shares of solar firms Enphase Energy (ENPH.O) and First Solar (FSLR.O) were also down 15.6% and 5.2%, respectively.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jay Powell, Michael Hewson, Lorie Logan, Patrick Harker, Loretta Mester, CME's, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Economic, of New, CMC, Fed Bank of Dallas, Market, BofA, Research, U.S, Philadelphia Fed, Cleveland Fed, Traders, American Express, Investors, Dow e, Enphase Energy, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, of New York, East, Israel, Gaza, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Bond squeeze abates as Middle East war in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. Dallas Fed cheif Lorie Logan added overnight that recent data and bond yield moves gave the central bank space. Reactions in the market were curious, however, with implied Fed policy rates in the futures market and two-year Treasury yields easing back even as 10-year yields chomped at the 5% bit. The resulting further disinversion of the yield curve to show the gap between two and 10-year yields at its lowest in a year is some testament to that. But with another nervous weekend around the Israel-Gaza war ahead, when markets are closed or illiquid, Friday trading has shifted the focus back to short-term safety hedges.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Lorie Logan, Huntington, Loretta Mester, Patrick Harker, Joe Biden, Charles Michel, Ursula von der Leyen, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Atlanta Federal, Dallas Fed, Bank of Japan, L'Oreal, American Express, Interpublic, Schlumberger, Cleveland Federal, Philadelphia Fed, European Council, European Commission Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Israel, Gaza, Europe, China, Comerica, Huntington Bancshares, Washington

☆ US weekly jobless claims hit nine-month low
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims at the very low end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The Fed's Beige Book report on Wednesday said "labor market tightness continued to ease across the nation" in early October and implied cooling wage pressure. The labor market is driving consumer spending and the overall economy, ultimately keeping inflation elevated. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, Jerome Powell's, Jay Hawkins, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Financial, Treasury, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Economic, of New, National Association of Realtors, realtors, BMO Capital Markets, Philadelphia Fed, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Texas , New York , New Jersey, Georgia, California, Tennessee, Michigan, of New York, Toronto, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware

☆ U.S. weekly jobless claims total 198,000, fewer than expected
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Initial filings for unemployment benefits dipped last week, indicating that the U.S. labor market remains tight and a potential factor in persistent inflation. Weekly jobless claims totaled a seasonally adjusted 198,000 for the period ended Oct. 14, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The labor market has been a critical factor in the Federal Reserve's deliberations over monetary policy. The labor market thus far has shown few effects of the United Auto Workers strike as well as other labor unrest. This week's report covers the survey week the Labor Department uses for its nonfarm payrolls report.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Fear Community College, Labor Department, United Auto Workers, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC Locations: Wilmington , North Carolina, US

☆ Morning Bid: To 5% and beyond, bond yields soar
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The company earnings picture, meantime, was mixed to sour over the past 24 hours in both the U.S. and Europe. Despite decent demand at a typically awkward 20-year bond auction on Wednesday, yields continued to spiral higher overnight and ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's key speech later on Thursday. The upshot of all factors has seen Treasury yields climb ever higher through the night - with two-year and 20-year yields , now both above 5.25%, the latter at a record high and the former the highest since 2006. Ten and five-year tenors also saw yields soar to within a hair's breadth of 5% early on Thursday too. The ructions in the bond market and incoming earnings saw Wall St indexes (.SPX), (.NDX) hit their lowest in 10 days on Wednesday and futures were in the red again ahead of the open today.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Republican Jim Jordan, Blackstone, Philip Morris, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, Patrick Harker, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S, Netflix, Republican, Bank of Japan, Mortgage Bankers Association, HK, Fifth Third Bancorp, Philip Morris , Union Pacific, CSX, Truist Financial, American Airlines, Alaska Air, Philadelphia Fed, U.S . Federal, Dallas, Chicago Fed, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Housing, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Washington, Venezuela, Europe, Frankfurt, Freeport, McMoRan, China

☆ 'Sticky' inflation is still high but that is a good sign for the health of the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Cork Gaines | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . As interest rates skyrocketed over the last 18 months, inflation fell from a 40-year high during the summer of 2022. Laoshi/Getty ImagesMcCulley echoed this when asked if strong retail sales are sign that the economy is not coming in for a soft landing. In the short term, further declines in inflation could be difficult if people are spending money they saved during the pandemic. Strong consumer spending is a good sign, but the economy is not out of the woods yet.

Persons: it's, —, Daniel Greenhaus, Greenhaus, Paul McCulley, McCulley, Tim Quinlan, Quinlan, Laoshi, didn't, Tom Barkin, ZIlloq, Paul Bradbury, Patrick Harker, Harker Organizations: Service, payrolls, Georgetown's School of Business, Wells, Richmond, Getty Images, Fed Locations: Wells Fargo

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. Demand for safe-haven assets sent gold prices to a more than two-month high, up over 1%, while the U.S. dollar also strengthened. Stronger crude prices pushed energy stocks (.SPNY) 1% higher, while industrials (.SPLRCI) and materials (.SPLRCM) led the decline in major S&P 500 sectors. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 3.90-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.69-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 20 new highs and 149 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Joe Biden, Biden, Treasuries aren't, Brian Jacobsen, homebuilding, Chris Giamo, Morgan Stanley's, New York's John Williams, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, Patrick Harker, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Sruthi Shankar, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tuesday United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S ., Annex Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, TD Bank, Abbott Laboratories, Consumer, Procter, Gamble, Tesla, Netflix, . Philadelphia Fed, Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Biden, China . United Airlines Holdings, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, New, China, Bengaluru

☆ Why One Fed Official Is Ready to Stop Raising Rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

The Fed released its summary of economic projections at the latest FOMC meeting. What does it say about the current state of the economy and what will policy makers do next? Photo: Al Drago/Bloomberg NewsThe Federal Reserve should extend its pause on interest-rate increases because of growing evidence that higher borrowing costs will slow the economy despite recent signs of hiring and spending strength, a top central bank official said. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker in a Tuesday interview said he thinks the central bank can likely wait until early next year to decide whether rapid rate increases over the past 20 months have done enough to keep inflation heading lower.

Persons: Al Drago, Patrick Harker Organizations: Fed, Bloomberg, Philadelphia Fed

☆ Morning Bid: US growth topping China as megacaps report
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A street sign for Wall Street hangs in front of the New York Stock Exchange May 8, 2013. The combination of high-pressure growth and U.S. crude oil prices back up to their highest in two weeks has re-ignited inflation concerns. And with a 20-year Treasury bond auction also due later in the day, bond markets are back running scared. Two-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2006 on Tuesday at 5.24% and held most of those gains overnight - while 20-year yields are hovering around 5.2% as well. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, megacaps Tesla, Jerome Powell, China's, Republican Jim Jordan, Morgan Stanley, Kinder Morgan, Elevance, Joe Biden, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Patrick Harker, Toby Chopra Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Netflix, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's, Wall St, Republican, Procter, Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, Northern Trust, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, US Bancorp, Zions Bancorp, Discover, Lam Research, Alcoa, Steel Dynamics, Federal, New York Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Graphics Retail, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Gaza, Israel, trepidation, United States, Britain, Wall, Stocks, Asia, Europe, Northern, POPG, Equifax

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. On the earnings front, consumer goods maker Procter & Gamble (PG.N) edged up 0.2% after its quarterly sales topped market expectations. EV maker Tesla (TSLA.O) and streaming services company Netflix (NFLX.O) are scheduled to report quarterly results after market close. ET, Dow e-minis were down 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 18.5 points, or 0.42%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 88.25 points, or 0.58%. Travelers Companies (TRV.N) reported a 14% fall in quarterly profit.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Joe Biden, Morgan Stanley, New York's John Williams, Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Patrick Harker, Neel Kashkari, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum, Treasury, Procter, Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, Tesla, Netflix, Federal Reserve, Governors, Generale, Philadelphia Fed, Wall Street Journal, Minneapolis, Dow e, Nvidia, Biden, China . United Airlines Holdings, Rivals American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Interactive, Travelers Companies, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United, Gaza, Israel, New, China, Bengaluru

☆ Why Fed officials aren’t addressing the Israel-Hamas war the way they did with Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Emma Jones, a spokesperson for the Fed, declined to comment on why many Fed officials, who in the past moved swiftly to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, weren’t addressing the war in Israel. There are some Fed officials who are starting to talk about it, though — albeit only when asked questions. Fed officials see little immediate threat to the US economyAtlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was the first to speak about the war, at the American Bankers Association’s annual conference last Tuesday. That’s probably why more Fed officials were quicker to acknowledge the war in Ukraine, Dorn said. “I don’t think the Fed wants to look like they’re taking sides,” Dorn added — but said Fed officials could easily talk about it without looking partial.

Persons: Chris Waller, ” Waller, Michael Barr, Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Emma Jones, James Dorn, “, ”, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Neel Kashkari didn’t, aren't, they're, Al Drago, Susan Collins, ” Collins, Patrick Harker, we’ve, Harker, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, ” Dorn, Dorn, There’s, Gregory Daco, Daco Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, ”, Dallas Fed, Fed, Cato Institute, CNN, Atlanta Fed, American Bankers, Minot State University, Minneapolis, Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, ” Boston, Wellesley College, Philadelphia Fed, Delaware State Chamber of Commerce, JPMorgan, Rystad Energy Locations: New York, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Waller’s, North Dakota, Delaware, Iran, Lebanon, Syria, United States, That’s, Gaza, Hormuz, EY

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was more than 5 basis points higher at 4.765%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by less than 2 basis points at 5.12%. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday as investors considered the state of the economy and awaited fresh economic data as they mulled over the outlook for interest rates. Investors assessed the economic outlook as they considered whether the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates further or not. Some have cited recent Treasury yield highs as a reason for this, saying they have led to tighter financial conditions which in turn could help ease the economy.

Persons: Patrick Harker, Jerome Powell, Joe Biden's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Philadelphia Fed Locations: Israel

☆ CHART OF THE DAY: Here's the simple reason why home prices won't fall anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

A steady decline in home inventory since 2006 is helping push home prices consistently higher. "Perhaps the housing market is not as interest rate-sensitive now as it historically has been," LPL Financial said. AdvertisementAdvertisementOur Chart of the Day is from LPL Financial, which highlights the ongoing relationship between home prices and existing home inventory. The chart shows that the resilient climb in home prices comes as existing home inventory has been steadily falling. "Perhaps the housing market is not as interest rate-sensitive now as it historically has been."

Persons: —, Patrick Harker, Harker, Jeffrey Roach, Roach Organizations: Service, LPL, Mortgage, Association

☆ Fed's Harker says Fed should not be considering more rate increases
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker stands behind the Jackson Lake Lodge in Jackson Hole, where the Kansas City Fed holds its annual economic symposium, in Wyoming, U.S. August 24, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said on Monday the central bank should not create new pressures in the economy by increasing the cost of borrowing. "We should not at this point be thinking about any increases" in the Fed's rate target, Harker told a bankers' group after a speech in which he had again reiterated his belief the Fed is done raising rates in an environment where inflation pressures are ebbing. Reporting by Michael S. Derby Editing by Chris ReeseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Patrick Harker, Ann Saphir, Harker, Michael S, Chris Reese Organizations: Philadelphia Federal, Kansas City Fed, REUTERS, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Thomson Locations: Jackson, Wyoming, U.S

☆ Wall Street ends up on earnings optimism; eyes remain on Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) led gains among S&P 500 sectors, although all of the sectors were higher on the day. Third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are estimated to have increased 2.2% year-over-year, up from an estimated increase of 1.3% a week earlier, according to LSEG data Friday. At the same time, global leaders are trying to make sure that the Middle East conflict "remains contained," she said. The S&P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and 6 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 33 new highs and 206 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles Schwab, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Quincy Krosby, Patrick Harker, Lululemon, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi, Aurora Ellis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Major U.S, Bank of America, Johnson, Netflix, Dow Jones, York, Philadelphia Fed, Activision Blizzard, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Major, Gaza, Charlotte , North Carolina, Bengaluru

Consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) and materials (.SPLRCM) led the gains across major S&P 500 sectors, while utilities (.SPLRCU) and energy stocks (.SPNY) lagged behind. Third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are estimated to grow 2.2% year-on-year, LSEG data showed on Friday. Investors also await economic data including retail sales for September and the Philly Fed Business Index for October later this week. Lululemon Athletica (LULU.O) added 9.6% as the sportswear apparel maker is set to join the S&P 500 index this week, replacing Activision Blizzard . The S&P index recorded nine new 52-week highs and six new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 29 new highs and 148 new lows.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Charles Schwab, Dow, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Jerome Powell's, Patrick Harker, Lululemon, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Moderna, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Bank of America, Johnson, Tesla, Netflix, Investors, Philly, Dow Jones, Federal, Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Apple, Activision Blizzard, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, New York State, China, Bengaluru

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq dropped on Friday as deteriorating consumer sentiment data and the Middle East conflict kept investors away from riskier bets and overshadowed some upbeat earnings from big U.S. banks. Third-quarter earnings for the S&P 500 companies are estimated to grow 2.2% on an annual basis, LSEG data showed. Of the 32 S&P 500 companies that have reported results, 87.5% have surpassed expectations compared with the long-term average of 66.5%. Rival Moderna (MRNA.O) dipped 5.1%Lululemon Athletica (LULU.O) added 5.8% as the sportswear apparel maker is set to join the S&P 500 index this week, replacing Activision Blizzard (ATVI.O).

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Antony Blinken, Pissouros, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Charles Schwab, Patrick Harker, Jerome Powell, Harker, Austan Goolsbee, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reuters, Pfizer, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, XM, Bank of America, Johnson, Tesla, Netflix, Philly, New York, Philadelphia Fed, Federal, Chicago Fed, Dow e, Nvidia, Activision Blizzard, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Israel, Gaza, United States, Bengaluru

☆ Fed's Harker says high interest rates closing off housing for new buyers
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker stands behind the Jackson Lake Lodge in Jackson Hole, where the Kansas City Fed holds its annual economic symposium, in Wyoming, U.S. August 24, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker said on Monday the current level of interest rates has nearly killed off access to the housing market for those looking to get in for the first time. In the text of a speech to the Mortgage Bankers Association's annual convention, Harker said when it comes to housing, based on his interactions in his district, "the climate could be crystallized in seven words, which one of those contacts said to me recently: 'There are no first-time home buyers.'" Harker explained that high interest rates have hit the housing sector by boosting costs and contracting inventory because many people no longer wish to sell, while pushing more prospective buyers into newly built homes. Reporting by Michael S. Derby; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Patrick Harker, Ann Saphir, Harker, Michael S, Paul Simao Organizations: Philadelphia Federal, Kansas City Fed, REUTERS, Mortgage, Thomson Locations: Jackson, Wyoming, U.S

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was more than 5 basis points higher at 4.681%. The 2-year Treasury yield was around flat at 5.058%. Treasury yields were higher Monday, with investors assessing the U.S. economic outlook as uncertainty about the path ahead for monetary policy, as well as geopolitical concerns, continued. Further remarks from Fed officials, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, are expected throughout the week. On the data front, investors will get fresh insights into the housing sector and retail sales figures are due Tuesday.

Persons: Patrick Harker, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Philadelphia Federal Locations: Israel, Gaza

☆ Morning Bid: MidEast tension keeps markets on edge
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAlthough price moves remain contained in the absence of a dramatic weekend escalation, world markets are still on edge as Middle East tension builds without obvious resolution. Disputed reports of a temporary ceasefire in southern Gaza partly stabilised jittery macro prices first thing on Monday. Yet the extent to which the backup in oil prices over recent months can impact wider economic sentiment was clear from the University of Michigan's household survey on Friday. That appeared to be the case last week as oil prices, gold, the dollar and Treasuries gained into the close while stocks fell back.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Israel, Treasuries, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, Poland's, Patrick Harker, Christine Lagarde, Fabio Panetta, Mike Dolan, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, University of Michigan's, U.S, Treasury, Wall, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Netflix, Federal Reserve, European Union ., York Fed, Bank of Canada, Philadelphia Federal, European Central Bank, ECB, Global, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, Wells Fargo, Luxembourg, LSEG, CHINA

☆ Israel-Hamas war risks further deglobalization and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Washington, DC CNN —The global economy is facing tremendous uncertainty from the war between Hamas and Israel in the Middle East, on top of the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. They say Israel’s declaration of war against Hamas could be yet another catalyst for deglobalization, though the extent of that is still up in the air. If deglobalization does get exacerbated, what would that mean for inflation and monetary policy, globally? With deglobalization, you get a global economic environment that’s less competitive, and when there’s less competition, that is ultimately inflationary, causing prices to rise. Over the Covid era, China shut down production, disrupting the global supply chain, so deglobalization would bring some production back within US borders.

Persons: Wells, Bell, Brendan McKenna, that’s, Trump, there’s, Hanna Ziady, we’ve, ”, Avi Hasson, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Tom Barkin, Michelle Bowman, Tesla, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Trump, Hamas, Nation Central, Philadelphia Fed, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, National Association of Home Builders, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Procter & Gamble, United Kingdom’s, National Statistics, American Airlines, US Labor Department, Federal, Fed Locations: Washington, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, China, Wells Fargo, Gaza, deglobalization, United States, Mexico, US, Tel Aviv, New York

☆ Here are 3 things to watch in the stock market after a very difficult week
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-14 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We certainly hope Morgan Stanley's numbers are as good as Friday's report from our other bank holding Wells Fargo (WFC). Morgan Stanley is expected to grow revenue by more than 2% year over year to $13.2 billion in the third quarter. During a recent conference, Morgan Stanley executives said that capital markets will likely improve in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley have struggled this year, dropping more than 8% compared to the S & P 500's nearly 13% advance in 2023. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Stocks, WTI, Jerome Powell's, There's, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Harker, Austan Goolsbee, Lorie Logan, Powell, Christopher Waller, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Jefferson, – Morgan Stanley, Gamble –, Morgan Stanley YTD, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, there's, Gamble, Jim, we'll, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Philip Morris, — CNBC's Zev Fima, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Columbus Day, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Club, Fed, Market, Philadelphia Fed, New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Dallas Fed, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, National Association of Realtors, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil, Coterra Energy, of America, United Airlines, Gamble, Housing, Netflix, Alcoa, American Airlines, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Alaska Air, CSX, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Israel, U.S, New, Wells, KBW, Silicon, Manhattan, New York City

☆ 'Higher for longer' isn't just about rates: Here's how to play elevated everything
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Each "higher for longer" item carries investment implications. Here's a look at how each category breaks down: Interest rates "I do subscribe to the new moniker, 'higher for longer.' That statement came from someone who nevertheless thinks the central bank doesn't have to take rates any higher than where they are now. Defense spending Geopolitical tensions, such as the wars in Ukraine and Israel, as well as the "cold war in Asia," should lead to an increase in defense spending around the world. In 2022, global defense spending hit a record $2.2 trillion, Quinlan said, citing Stockholm International Peace Institute data.

Persons: Joseph Quinlan, Merrill Lynch, Quinlan, Patrick Harker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America Private Bank, Philadelphia Fed, Investors, Defense, Stockholm International Peace Institute Locations: Israel, U.S, Ukraine, Asia, Stockholm, Washington

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Inch Down a Tiny Bit (-0.04%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.45%, down four basis points since this time last week. 20-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Tick Down (-0.03%)The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is down just three basis points from last week and sits at 7.18%. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Essentially Flat (-0.01%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.63%, a single basis point decrease from last week. Mortgage rates have been volatile so far in 2023, and they're higher than they were in October 2022.

Persons: they're, Patrick Harker, Harker, you'll, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, Philadelphia Fed, Delaware State Chamber of Commerce, Zillow, FHA Locations: Delaware, Chevron

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